Should I buy Glencore shares or this FTSE 100 8% dividend?

The Glencore plc (LON: GLEN) share price is lagging many FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) rivals.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Glencore (LSE: GLEN) share price has lagged most of its FTSE 100 mining rivals this year, as the group’s reputation has taken a hammering.

I think the shares look reasonably priced at current levels. But for investors focused on maximising income, I think there may be better choices elsewhere.

What’s wrong at Glencore?

One reason that Glencore shares are under pressure is that the company is currently the subject of several corruption investigations. In the US, two investigations are under way into possible corrupt practices in the Swiss-based company’s overseas operations. Both are thought to relate to activities in Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

The company is also being investigated by authorities in Brazil, in connection with possible bribery offences connected to state oil group Petrobras. And in December, a former employee was fined $1.8m by Canadian regulators.

Will these investigations cause lasting damage to the Glencore business? Probably not, in my view. But I suspect these reputational issues could result in some major investors avoiding the shares for the time being.

A dirty bargain?

Another potential concern for Glencore shareholders is the group’s focus on coal, which generated about one third of profits last year. A growing number of major investors are avoiding companies that produce coal, due to environmental concerns.

My view on this is that coal will remain an important source of profits for Glencore for the foreseeable future. Demand for the black stuff isn’t likely to disappear for decades. But this focus on ‘dirty energy’ could limit the stock’s valuation gains, as the market may price in environmental costs and the risk of future decline.

At about 310p, Glencore shares trade on 11 times 2019 forecast earnings and offer a 4.8% dividend yield. I’d rate the shares as a hold at this level, but for income investors I think there may be better options.

This 8% yield looks tempting

One company that has outperformed Glencore in recent years is coal and steel group Evraz (LSE: EVR). The Evraz share price has gained 41% over the last year, compared to a 10% fall for Glencore shares.

Although it’s based in Russia, Evraz operates in North America as well as Russia and Ukraine. A simplified view of the business is that it operates coal and iron ore mines in Russia and Ukraine. These supply the raw materials needed for steelmaking, much of which takes place in North America.

This group’s low cost mines and attractive scale mean that it generates a lot of cash. In 2018, Evraz reported free cash flow of $1,940m from total revenue of $12,836m. That represents a free cash flow yield of 16%, a very impressive figure.

Most of this spare cash was returned to shareholders, which paid dividends totalling $1,600m last year. At the current share price, that gives a dividend yield of 14%.

An income buy?

Evraz is what I call an oligarch stock. About 60% of the shares are controlled by three rich Russians, including Chelsea FC owner Roman Abramovich. My view is that such people own assets like this to provide them with income and a safe home for their cash.

For this reason, I think the firm’s focus on cash returns will continue. For investors who are happy investing in Russia, I think the shares could be a buy.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Roland Head has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Illustration of flames over a black background
Investing Articles

Here’s why I’m staying well clear of Rivian stock

Electric vehicles have excited investors for years now, but can be hit or miss. Here's why Gordon Best will be…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

A 6%+ yield but down 24%! Time for me to buy more of this hidden FTSE 250 gem?

After a rapid share price fall, this FTSE 250 stock's dividend yield has risen, leaving me wondering whether I should…

Read more »

View of Lake District. English countryside with fields in the foreground and a lake and hills behind.
Investing Articles

The United Utilities share price is recovering after mixed earnings report and sewage spill

Is a mild increase in revenue and slightly boosted dividend enough to save the United Utilities share price in light…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

Here’s why the Legal & General share price looks super attractive to me

Jon Smith flags up an important characteristic about the Legal & General share price that makes it appealing to him…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

To aim for £1,000 a month in passive income, should I buy growth shares or value shares?

Deciding which shares are the best to invest in is important when considering long-term passive income. However, there are several…

Read more »

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office
Investing Articles

Here’s why I think AMD stock should be higher

The semiconductor sector has been on a tear lately, but here's why Gordon Best thinks AMD stock still has plenty…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s what investors need to know about the latest Warren Buffett stock

The mystery stock Warren Buffett has been buying has been disclosed to be Chubb – an above-average business at a…

Read more »

Smiling young man sitting in cafe and checking messages, with his laptop in front of him.
Investing Articles

The Sage share price slides on half-year results: is it time to buy?

Sage’s share price has slipped on an uncertain outlook. But the company’s results suggest it’s still making good progress, says…

Read more »